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Key Fed gauge flashes warning signal for second time this year

00:01 - 12/03/19

 

 

Take a look at the total return on S&P vs 30 year bond. In the next recession, would it be a surprise to see this ratio come back below 2? So, after 40 years, stocks would have gone nowhere relative. So much for long run

 

 

A WSJ chart to mark ten years since the GFC (global financial crisis) stock market low

 

 

This cycle has been like no other. US recovery is nearly 10 years old. Yet, M2 velocity kept going lower until 6 Q's ago. Now inching up

 

 

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