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10-year yields have marched higher since the Fed started cutting in 2024, in part because the economy hasn't yet slowed meaningfully and inflation remains sticky around 3%

00:01 - 12/12/25

 

 

Term premiums have been a big driver, as investors demand a higher yield for a higher risk

 

The Fed may increase its 2026 purchases of T-bills to about $45 billion per month on Wednesday, helping to improve liquidity conditions and bring down short-end rates

 

The S&P 500's P/E ratio has moved up to 26, which is 31% higher than the historical average since 1989 (19.8).

 

 

 

One of the most remarkable parts about this rally in silver is that large asset managers are barely net long here

 

 

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