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Markets pricing in the most cuts since 2008

00:01 - 12/08/24

The % of Bulls in the Investors Intelligence Sentiment Index moved down over 17% in the past 2 weeks (from 64.2% to 46.9%). That's the biggest 2-week % drop in Bulls since the October 1987 crash

Hedge Funds have now built the largest net short position on commodities in 13 years

To put things into perspective: Over the last 35yrs, the whole life of Vix history, there have only been 2 prior episodes of Vix trading >60: The 1st was during GFC, the collapse of Lehman, the 2nd episode occurred during Covid and we had a 3rd occurrence: that was last Monday.

Tax Revenue vs. GDP for Major Countries