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The S&P 500 is up 30% since the Yield Curve (10-year minus 3-month) first inverted back in October 2022

00:01 - 14/02/24

 

 

 

The S&P 500 ended the last week at another all-time high, its 10th of the year.

 

 

 

The US Yield Curve (10-year minus 3-month) has now been inverted for 473 consecutive days, the longest inversion in history

 

 

 

With approximately 84% of the industrial sector having reported 4Q23 results, cash flows continue to be strong with a few subsectors contributing most of the strength

 

 

 

Turkish Lira was kept artificially strong until last year's May elections, after which it was allowed to devalue. It looks like that's happening again, with a big devaluation after Mar. '24 elections. Markets have a very negative view of this kind of political FX manipulation...

 

 

 

 

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