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Every single US recession has begun when the corporate sector financial balance, an economy-wide measure of free cash flow, was in deficit. Today it is in surplus of 2% of gross value added

00:01 - 21/07/22

FactSet: Use of the Bank Term Funding Program reached another new peak last week. Read more on the Federal Reserve and a number of banking updates in our latest tracker.

The squeeze is feeble: With the dollar weakening and equities rallying, financial conditions have now loosened all the way back to the spring of 2022 levels, when the Fed had barely begun tightening

Robin Brooks: Turkish Lira is a case study in devaluation. No one wants to devalue. But if you have to, best to let it happen. Markets will eventually realize that Lira is just too cheap, like in 2018. The current stop-start pattern does the opposite, Markets just expect more devaluation...

The US government interest payments on the Federal debt are now higher than the annual defense spending